GTA 6 launch sales could hit 45 million, Piper says

Piper Sandler believes GTA 6 can sell around 45 million copies at launch, according to the note reported by financial news site Seeking Alpha. The firm reiterated its overweight rating on Take-Two and a 290 dollars price target per share.

The estimate comes from demand surveys, not pre-order data. Seeking Alpha does not publish the sample size or the margin behind the figure, and Take-Two has not shared a forecast of its own.

The forecast lands with a scheduled date already on the calendar. Take-Two reports second quarter fiscal 2027 results on Monday, November 9, a date it announced on October 13, according to stock news site Kalkine Media.

That quarter runs from July to September, so it will not include a single copy of GTA 6. Take-Two heads into the call with the launch already booked and two delays behind it, per Bloomberg.

Take-Two heads into the call with its fiscal 2027 guidance unchanged. It reiterated the range in its August release, when it held November 19 as the launch date, and has announced no change since.

First quarter net bookings dipped slightly, with recurrent consumer spending making up most of the total. The launch falls outside the quarter being reported, so the call will say little about GTA 6 itself.

Kalkine Media calls GTA 6 the biggest entertainment launch in the company's history. It follows GTA V, which arrived on September 17, 2013, and Red Dead Redemption 2, released on October 26, 2018.

The build has been long as well. Bloomberg reported in October that the game went through two delays and involved 4,711 employees, and November 19, 2026 is the third date Rockstar has announced.

For players, the date that matters is not Piper's number but the calendar. Preload begins on November 12 at 00:00 local time, and the box with a download code goes on sale the same day, with the full breakdown in our release date and editions page.

Anyone who orders before November 20 gets the Vice City Vintage Pack, and the game ships with a 34-track album on the same day. Clearing space beforehand saves you a headache on preload night.

Rockstar has not announced a PC version and has not shared pre-order figures since June. Press reports put the PC release in the first quarter of 2027, according to GamesBeat, and that date remains unconfirmed.

The next signal has a date: November 9. That is when Take-Two either raises guidance or leaves it alone, and the first real sales numbers for the game will only arrive after November 19, once it is out on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S.

How many copies will GTA 6 sell at launch?

Piper Sandler expects around 45 million, based on demand surveys and reported by Seeking Alpha. Rockstar has not published a forecast.

When will the real sales figures arrive?

Take-Two reports on November 9, but that quarter ends in September and does not include the launch. The first numbers for the game will come after November 19.

Will GTA 6 launch on PC on the same day?

No. Rockstar has only confirmed PS5 and Xbox Series X|S for November 19, 2026. The PC version is reportedly set for the first quarter of 2027, with no official announcement.